Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

According to betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites at +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using historic benefits and 2018 loop data, we provide a championship betting pick and handicap the race.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to fight for the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015), Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one championship in their own professions, while Logano is trying to secure his original.

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It’s not surprise to see Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this past season. Logano scored two wins himself, but rode 25 finishes to earn his shot.

Employing historical loop info from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let’s break down the contenders to determine the best bet to acquire the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
While Homestead-Miami joins a few additional MENCS tracks at 1.5 mph, there really are not any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead delivers banking, which allows drivers to run many lines.

The track surface itself is also very abrasive, and which wears out tires fast and makes rubber a massive benefit.

With tire wear creating cars hard to drive and innovative banking allowing drivers to choose unique lines, passing is simpler here than most other 1.5-mile tracks that are too reliant upon aero for speed and therefore create follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to examine the past four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Applying four races may seem a little arbitrary, but that amount was picked on by me . 2014 was the year which NASCAR went into the current playoff format where drivers advance through the playoff of the sport until four stay .

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